February 7 Massive Strike: ruSSia’s Predictable Terror

February 7, 2026February 8, 2026

We’ve repeatedly drawn attention to the fact that Orcs* reserved Friday night to Saturday for massive combined strikes on Ukraine. Therefore, everyone concerned should draw their own conclusions and be ready for this to happen. Those who can spend this night in a safe and equipped place — do it, regardless of alarm maps and observers’ forecasts. Friday evening was quiet on the maps. But what happened at night — most of Ukraine saw and/or heard. Probably, the military also draws some conclusions. Such predictability of enemy actions always exposes them to appropriate punishment. The February 7 massive strike followed the same pattern russia has used for months.

Before moving to numbers, let’s simply note this. Today strikes hit one of the largest warehouse complexes of Roshen company in Yahotyn. A large-scale fire broke out there. They caused enormous damage. Before this, strikes hit the Roshen factory in Kyiv. An employee of the enterprise died there. Several people received injuries.

February 7 Massive Strike: Targeting Energy Infrastructure

As you can see from the infographic, today most strike weapons were directed to the gap between Kyiv and the Center of Ukraine and the western part of the country. Nuclear power plants are located there. Accordingly, the energy bridge that connects our energy system with the European one is also there. Again, there’s nothing surprising here. The first quarter of February is coming to an end. Therefore, the enemy tries to cause maximum damage to Ukraine’s energy system.

Accordingly, they want to get maximum effect while winter cold hasn’t started receding. For this, he throws all forces and means. He spends ammunition and carrier resources that overall were intended for other purposes. In theory, they should have ensured the strategic level of readiness of their armed forces for confrontation of another scale.

Yes, anti-ship missiles went into action. Also those products that initially were designed to deliver nuclear warheads to targets. Plus, they waste the resource of antique Tu-95 strategic bombers and the “newest” Tu-160s. Since the latter have jet engines, their resource is much less than veterans. Therefore, using them to launch ordinary cruise missiles at Ukraine can be viewed if not as a gesture of despair, then as something similar to this.

The Numbers: What ruSSia Launched

Our Air Force just provided a summary of what and with what they launched at Ukraine. It lacks Kinzhal missiles and ballistics. Although an air raid alarm just went off regarding the takeoff of a Kinzhal carrier, a MiG-31 aircraft. It’s still unclear whether this is a combat sortie or just to “cheer up” our air defense. Why this is so — we won’t claim. But over the past week, the Armed Forces of Ukraine went through enemy ammunition warehouses. Perhaps they managed to hit some such reserves. And the statistics of launched/intercepted aerial targets look like this:

Zircon anti-ship cruise missile — 2/0;
Kh-101 air-launched cruise missile — 21/14;
Kalibr sea-launched cruise missile — 16/10;
UAVs — 408/382.

Predictable Patterns: ruSSia’s Strategic Weakness

Well, and we’ll note once again that the enemy acts predictably in many ways. At least, their strategic and long-range bombers operate according to a template. Sea missile carriers, except for submarines, also follow patterns. There’s hope that one day they’ll finally punish them for such a template of actions. The February 7 massive strike demonstrates that russia hasn’t learned from previous losses — their predictability will be their downfall.

*Orcs – a common term for Russians who support or participate in the armed aggression against Ukraine. Dehumanizing? Yes. Accurate? Also yes.