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April 25 Massive Strike: Putin’s Failed Revenge for Burning Oil

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April 25 Massive Strike: Putin’s Failed Revenge for Burning Oil

April 25 massive strike on Ukraine occurred as often happens, Friday night into Saturday. Psychiatrists could probably issue some theory about why psychopath Pootin has such weird cycles, but we assume you’d have to dig into the patient’s childhood, as Sigmund Freud taught.

The enemy directed most strike weapons at Dnipro and Kharkiv. Data on the number of killed isn’t available yet, but there are many wounded because strikes hit residential areas. According to the morning infographic, the distribution of strike weapons looked like this:

Map of Russian strikes on April 25
Map of Russian strikes on April 25

The Air Force already reported what “filled” this April 25 massive strike, and according to their data, the enemy used 666 strike weapons total against Ukraine. It looked like this:

Ukrainian Air Force report for April 25
Ukrainian Air Force report for April 25
  • Iskander-M ballistic missiles — 12/0;
  • Kh-101 air-launched cruise missiles — 29/26;
  • Iskander-K ground-launched cruise missiles — 1/0;
  • Kalibr sea-launched cruise missiles — 5/4;
  • Strike UAVs of all types — 619/580.

From this statistic, you can draw a general conclusion. Several days running, various enemy sources claimed this raid would be the most massive since the full-scale invasion began. Drones alone were supposed to reach about 1,000. Everything else — significantly more too. Plus they announced Kinzhal and Zircon missiles. Overall, this announcement had its logic. Orcs’¹ generals were obligated to show “our answer to Chamberlain” so Pootin wouldn’t start throwing they in prison for allowing the outright beating of the oil industry. If they can’t repel Ukrainian strikes, they need to please the bald führer with some grandiose raid.

Kalibrs Vanish from the Black Sea

So, the first thing that jumps out — Kalibrs aren’t launching from the Black Sea anymore. As predicted, the enemy now fires Kalibrs from Caspian Flotilla ships. Because the Black Sea “fleet” hid so deep it’s like it doesn’t exist. Actually, calling it a “fleet” is generous. The enemy lost their flagship and headquarters, and by naval standards a fleet without capital ships isn’t a fleet at all.

We very much hope some portion of cruise missile carriers from the Caspian Flotilla composition is already seriously damaged from previous Good Birds visits. This is quite likely because strikes on sea oil platforms in the Caspian became routine, and the distance plus other flight condition characteristics are practically identical to what Good Birds would need to work out for striking ships. It’s entirely possible the countdown already started and the enemy’s Caspian Flotilla awaits the same finale as the Black Sea one.

Strategic Aviation Pulls Back

Second moment — aviation. This time the enemy used an abnormally large number of strategic aviation boards, but missiles turned out not as many as expected. This phenomenon demands its technical explanation, and we’ll just note that this time launches were conducted from the Caspian Sea waters. Recently this happened in the sky over Saratov or Volgograd oblasts, but now aircraft pulled back much farther, and probably this connects to Orcs starting to suspect trouble — that one day during launches, unexpected guests might drop by.

Now — about the quantity of what flew at us. Obviously it turned out almost half less than announced. This can hardly be explained by Orcs changing their minds. Actually, part of the ammunition, launch systems, or command posts simply got knocked out. We remember Madyar’s reports about destroying ammunition depots near the border or frontline . Strikes also hit various command posts and all this together gave its effect. Our military won’t give a breakdown of exactly what they knocked out from enemy assets, but the fact sits right before our eyes — the April 25 massive strike turned out way smaller than the bald führer wanted.

¹Orcs – a common term for Russians who support or participate in the armed aggression against Ukraine. Dehumanizing? Yes. Accurate? Also yes.

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